World News
Economy
The World Bank on June 11 slashed its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.5%, the weakest pace since the COVID-19 pandemic, citing the fallout from the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran and the resulting closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The report downgraded growth projections for two-thirds of all countries, with Brent crude projected to average $94 per barrel — a 36% jump from 2025 — and global inflation forecast to rise to 4.0%. Chief Economist Indermit Gill warned that "the world economy is a lot less resilient today than it was in 2008," while the Bank announced $50–60 billion in emergency support for developing countries, scalable to $80–100 billion if the crisis deepens. In a downside scenario, growth could drop as low as 1.3%.
世界银行于6月11日将2026年全球经济增长预测下调至2.5%，为新冠疫情以来的最低增速，原因是美以对伊朗军事行动及霍尔木兹海峡关闭带来的冲击。报告下调了全球三分之二国家的增长预期，布伦特原油预计全年均价将达每桶94美元，较2025年飙升36%，全球通胀率预计升至4.0%。世行首席经济学家因德米特·吉尔警告称"当今世界经济的韧性远不及2008年"，世行同时宣布向发展中国家提供500至600亿美元的紧急援助，若危机加深可扩大至800至1000亿美元。在最坏情景下，全球增速可能骤降至1.3%。
Brent crude surged more than $2 to above $95 a barrel on June 11 after Iran announced a full closure of the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint for roughly one-fifth of global oil shipments — and warned vessels attempting passage would be targeted. The announcement followed U.S. airstrikes on Iranian air-defense and communications sites using 49 Tomahawk cruise missiles. Iranian officials warned oil could reach $200 a barrel if attacks continued, before President Trump abruptly called off threatened follow-up strikes late on June 11, saying "final points" had been approved by a broad international coalition. U.S. equity markets tumbled, with the Dow falling 1.87% and the Nasdaq down 1.98%.
6月11日，伊朗宣布全面关闭霍尔木兹海峡——这一承载全球约五分之一石油运输的咽喉要道——并警告任何试图通行的船只都将成为打击目标，布伦特原油随之飙升逾2美元，突破每桶95美元。此前美国使用49枚战斧巡航导弹对伊朗防空和通信设施发动了空袭。伊朗官员警告若攻击持续，油价可能触及每桶200美元。当日晚间，特朗普突然叫停了此前威胁的后续打击，称一个广泛的国际联盟已批准"最终要点"。美国股市应声下跌，道琼斯指数跌1.87%，纳斯达克跌1.98%。
Politics
President Trump threatened on June 11 to "hit Iran VERY HARD TONIGHT" and seize Kharg Island — Iran's main oil export terminal — before abruptly calling off the planned strikes hours later, citing that discussions had reached the "highest level of Iranian leadership." A broad coalition including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Turkey, and Pakistan reportedly approved "final points" for a potential diplomatic framework. The whiplash came just one day after U.S. forces launched airstrikes on Iranian air-defense and military-intelligence sites, and Iranian and U.S. naval forces clashed in the Gulf. The episode marked the most volatile 24 hours in the three-month-old conflict, with the Pentagon briefly placed on lockdown due to an unrelated air-quality incident.
6月11日，特朗普总统威胁"今晚将狠狠打击伊朗"并夺取伊朗主要石油出口终端哈尔克岛，数小时后又突然叫停了计划中的打击行动，称谈判已触及"伊朗最高领导层"。据报道，一个包括以色列、沙特、阿联酋、卡塔尔、土耳其和巴基斯坦在内的广泛联盟已批准了一项潜在外交框架的"最终要点"。此剧烈转折发生在美国对伊朗防空和军事情报设施发动空袭、美伊海军在波斯湾发生冲突的次日。这是这场持续三个月之久的冲突中最动荡的24小时，五角大楼在此期间还因一起无关的空气质量事件短暂封锁。
Italy's ruling majority, led by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, passed a resolution on June 11 committing to gradually lift anti-Russia sanctions once the Ukraine conflict ends, positioning sanctions as leverage in peace negotiations rather than a permanent regime. Meloni also called for the EU to designate a single negotiator for Ukraine peace talks, arguing that Europe's fragmented diplomacy has weakened its influence over the process. The vote signals a growing willingness among EU member states — particularly those with heavy manufacturing sectors exposed to energy costs — to plan for a post-sanctions framework, even as the European "Troika" (UK, France, Germany) reiterated demands that Russia agree to a ceasefire before formal negotiations begin.
意大利总理梅洛尼领导的执政多数于6月11日通过一项决议，承诺在乌克兰冲突结束后逐步解除对俄制裁，将制裁作为和平谈判的筹码而非永久性制度。梅洛尼还呼吁欧盟指定一名乌克兰和谈的单一谈判代表，认为欧洲分散的外交削弱了其在这一进程中的影响力。此次表决标志着欧盟成员国——尤其是制造业占比较高且深受能源成本影响的成员国——越来越愿意为后制裁框架做准备，尽管欧洲"三驾马车"（英法德）仍重申俄罗斯必须在正式谈判开始前同意停火。
Geopolitics
The Strait of Hormuz crisis escalated dramatically on June 11 as Iran announced a full closure of the waterway and Iranian and U.S. naval forces clashed directly at sea. Iran fired on U.S. facilities in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan in retaliation for American airstrikes, while the U.S. Air Force struck an Indian oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman that it alleged was violating sanctions. The International Energy Agency had already characterized the disruption as "the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market," with 12.8 million barrels per day of global oil supply lost since February. The crisis drove a fundamental recalibration of Middle Eastern security thinking, with Gulf states accelerating investments in domestic defense industries and diversifying strategic partnerships amid eroding confidence in U.S. security guarantees.
霍尔木兹海峡危机于6月11日急剧升级，伊朗宣布全面关闭该水道，美伊海军在海上直接交火。伊朗为报复美军空袭，向美国在巴林、科威特和约旦的军事设施开火；美国空军则在阿曼湾击中一艘被指控违反制裁的印度油轮。国际能源署此前已将此次中断定性为"全球石油市场史上最大规模的供应中断"，自2月以来全球每日损失1280万桶石油供应。这场危机正在推动中东安全思维的根本性调整，海湾国家在对美国安全保障信心下降的背景下，加速投资本土国防工业并推动战略伙伴关系多元化。
NATO launched Ramstein Flag 2026 on June 8, a massive live-fly exercise involving more than 200 aircraft from 18 countries across European airspace, with the northern component deployed near Russia's border. Moscow denounced the drills as "direct preparations for a potential global conflict," while Spain served as the southern hub for maritime-interdiction exercises seen as practicing the blocking of Russian oil shipments in the Mediterranean. The exercises, running through June 19, also tested upgraded cross-border military transport infrastructure. Simultaneously, China's President Xi Jinping made his first visit to Pyongyang in seven years on June 8–9, reaching what state media described as an "important consensus" with Kim Jong Un on regional stability — a summit that underscored the deepening alignment among China, Russia, and North Korea amid the shifting geopolitical landscape.
北约于6月8日启动"拉姆施泰因旗帜2026"大规模实飞演习，来自18个国家的200余架战机在欧洲空域参演，其北部科目部署在俄罗斯边境附近。莫斯科谴责此次演习是"为潜在全球冲突进行的直接准备"，西班牙则作为南部枢纽承担海上拦截科目，被视为演练封锁俄罗斯在地中海石油运输的实战准备。此次演习持续至6月19日，还测试了升级后的跨境军事运输基础设施。与此同时，中国国家主席习近平于6月8日至9日对平壤进行七年来首次访问，与金正恩就地区稳定达成官方媒体所称的"重要共识"——此次峰会在当前地缘格局变化背景下凸显了中俄朝三国关系的持续深化。
Science & Technology
China's Jiangmen Underground Neutrino Observatory (JUNO) published its first physics result on the cover of Nature on June 10, measuring neutrino oscillation parameters with 1.6 times better precision than decades of combined prior experiments — using just 59 days of data. Located 700 meters underground in Guangdong and equipped with a 20,000-ton liquid scintillator detector and over 45,000 photomultiplier tubes, JUNO has been running smoothly since August 2025. Nature reviewers declared the result "marks the dawn of the next era of precise neutrino oscillation measurements," with the detector's exceptional radiopurity and energy resolution now validated for its primary mission: determining the neutrino mass ordering, a fundamental open question in particle physics.
中国江门中微子实验（JUNO）于6月10日在《自然》杂志封面发表首个物理成果，仅凭59天的数据，就以比此前数十年所有实验总和高1.6倍的精度测量了中微子振荡参数。JUNO位于广东江门地下700米，配备2万吨液体闪烁体探测器和超过4.5万只光电倍增管，自2025年8月起稳定运行至今。《自然》审稿人评价这一成果"标志着中微子振荡精确测量新时代的开启"，该探测器卓越的放射纯度和能量分辨率已获验证，为其首要科学目标——确定中微子质量顺序这一粒子物理的基本未解问题——奠定了坚实基础。
Researchers at UC Berkeley and the Chan Zuckerberg Biohub demonstrated a laser phase plate on June 11 that dramatically improves cryo-electron microscopy imaging contrast, using a laser 100 million times brighter than the Sun. The breakthrough opens the door to imaging more than 90% of human proteins previously too small to resolve clearly, promising to transform structural biology and drug discovery. Meanwhile, researchers at University College Cork reported the first experimental evidence of spinons — the key quasiparticles in quantum spin liquids — in a paper published June 10, using a novel "spin-witness spectroscopy" technique. The finding represents a major step toward materials for topological quantum computing, with spinons potentially serving as robust carriers of quantum information.
加州大学伯克利分校和陈-扎克伯格生物中心的研究人员于6月11日展示了一种激光相位板，利用比太阳亮1亿倍的激光，大幅提升冷冻电镜成像对比度。这一突破使此前因过于微小而无法清晰解析的超过90%人类蛋白质有望获得成像，或将变革结构生物学和药物发现。此外，爱尔兰科克大学学院的研究人员于6月10日发表论文，利用创新性的"自旋见证光谱"技术，首次获得了量子自旋液体中关键准粒子——自旋子的实验证据。自旋子有望作为量子信息的稳定载体，这一发现是迈向拓扑量子计算材料的重要一步。
Healthcare
The pancreatic cancer drug daraxonrasib, a pan-RAS inhibitor developed by Revolution Medicines, nearly doubled median survival in advanced patients to 13.2 months versus 6.7 months with standard chemotherapy — a 60% reduction in death risk — according to Phase III results presented at ASCO 2026. The KRAS mutation targeted by the drug had long been considered "undruggable," making the results a landmark in one of oncology's hardest-to-treat cancers. The U.S. FDA has granted the drug priority review. Separately, new analyses presented at ASCO showed that GLP-1 receptor agonists such as Ozempic and Wegovy were associated with a roughly 30% lower risk of breast cancer progression, and GLP-1 users with lung cancer had roughly half the rate of progression to advanced-stage disease compared with non-users.
在2026年ASCO大会上公布的III期临床试验结果显示，Revolution Medicines开发的pan-RAS抑制剂daraxonrasib将晚期胰腺癌患者的中位生存期从标准化疗的6.7个月几乎翻倍提升至13.2个月，死亡风险降低60%。该药靶向的KRAS突变长期被视为"不可成药"靶点，这一成果堪称肿瘤学领域最难治癌症之一的里程碑突破。美国FDA已授予该药优先审评资格。此外，ASCO大会上公布的其他分析显示，Ozempic和Wegovy等GLP-1受体激动剂与乳腺癌进展风险降低约30%相关，使用GLP-1类药物的肺癌患者进展至晚期阶段的比例约为未使用者的二分之一。
The world's first AI-designed vaccine passed its initial human trial, University of Cambridge researchers reported, with the vaccine generating immune responses against multiple coronaviruses including SARS-CoV-2, SARS, and related bat viruses. The vaccine's key antigen was entirely designed by artificial intelligence, aiming to provide broad protection against future coronavirus pandemics — including viruses that have not yet jumped from animals to humans. In a separate landmark deal, Roche signed an agreement worth up to $2.3 billion with Nurix Therapeutics for bexobrutideg, an oral BTK-degrader for B-cell blood cancers that could outperform existing BTK inhibitors. The deal included $700 million upfront, underscoring the pharmaceutical industry's intensifying bet on targeted protein degradation as the next frontier in cancer therapy.
剑桥大学研究人员报告，全球首款由人工智能设计的疫苗通过了初步人体试验，该疫苗对多种冠状病毒（包括SARS-CoV-2、SARS及相关蝙蝠病毒）产生了免疫反应。该疫苗的关键抗原完全由人工智能设计，旨在为未来的冠状病毒大流行提供广谱保护——包括尚未从动物传播至人类的病毒。在另一项标志性交易中，罗氏与Nurix Therapeutics签署了价值高达23亿美元的协议，获得口服BTK降解剂bexobrutideg的授权——该药用于B细胞血液癌症，可能超越现有BTK抑制剂。协议包括7亿美元首付款，凸显制药行业正加大对靶向蛋白降解这一癌症治疗新前沿的投入。
Other
The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicked off on June 11 with the opening ceremony and first match in Mexico, as the tournament is jointly hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It marks the first World Cup to span three nations and the first to feature 48 teams under FIFA's expanded format.
2026年国际足联世界杯于6月11日在墨西哥拉开帷幕，举行开幕式及首场比赛。本届赛事由美国、墨西哥和加拿大联合主办，是历史上首届跨越三个国家举办的世界杯，也是国际足联扩军至48支球队后的首届赛事。
Policy Signals
- 《习近平外交文选》第一卷、第二卷出版发行，收入2013年至2025年关于对外工作最重要著作134篇，涵盖人类命运共同体、全球发展倡议、全球安全倡议、全球文明倡议、全球治理倡议等核心理念。
- 国务院常务会议审议通过《教育发展"十五五"规划》和《美丽中国建设"十五五"规划》，部署审计查出问题整改，强调锚定科技强国建设目标、加快高水平科技自立自强。
- 习近平总书记重要文章《前瞻布局和发展未来产业》在《求是》发表，明确"十五五"时期六大未来产业主攻方向：量子科技、生物制造、氢能和核聚变能、脑机接口、具身智能、第六代移动通信（6G）。
- 发展未来产业五项部署：加强统筹谋划、坚持以科技创新为引领、发挥企业主体作用、营造良好政策环境、健全治理体系。强调坚持全国一盘棋，因地制宜、错位发展，防止盲目"跟风"上项目。
- 科技部部长阴和俊发文阐释以高水平科技自立自强引领未来产业发展，强调发挥新型举国体制优势、强化企业科技创新主体地位、引导长期资本"投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技"。
- 华为正式发表"韬（τ）定律"，提出用"时间缩微"替代传统"几何缩微"思路，是中国在全球半导体领域首次提出指导产业发展的新原则。
- 《求是》评论员文章强调推动平台经济创新和健康发展，要求完善监管、防止垄断和不正当竞争，引导平台企业提高研发投入、突破关键核心技术。
- 集中整治"新官不理旧账"突出问题，多地推行领导干部变动交接制度，将"旧账清理处置"纳入政绩考核。
- 江苏探索科技成果转化新途径：职务科技成果资产单列管理、不纳入国有资产保值增值考核；"先使用后付费"模式；教育部与江苏省共建全国首个高校区域技术转移转化中心。
- 四部门联合印发《平台劳动规则和算法协商指引（试行）》，规范算法规则协商；新就业形态人员职业伤害保障试点今年全面推开，累计参保超2700万人。
- 东西部协作30年成效显著：共建产业园区近800个，过渡期引导东部企业到西部投资超7500亿元，帮助500余万农村劳动力就业。
- 习近平访问朝鲜，中朝达成系列重要共识，强调坚持以为民造福为目标提升务实合作水平，共同维护地区和平稳定。
- 最高人民法院知识产权法庭运行7年，审结技术类知识产权二审案件23069件，74案获超千万元高额赔偿；推动实质解纷，民事二审整体调撤率超37%。
- 国家发改委专家撰文指出培育发展未来产业需探索多元技术路线、打造典型应用场景、培育可行商业模式、完善监管机制，推广"沙盒监管"和负面清单管理。
- 《求是》刊文揭露日本"新型军国主义"特征与危害，指出其以"右翼政治家—安保官僚—军工资本"为架构、以"民主自由"话语包装、依托美日同盟推行依附式扩张。
- 2026文化强国建设高峰论坛在深圳举行，聚焦文脉传承与数智赋能，强调以人工智能推动主流媒体系统性变革，坚守人文底色和价值向善。
- 生成式人工智能引发知识生产范式变革，《求是》刊文呼吁在"人机共存"中高扬人的主体性，警惕知识生产同质化倾向和"1对多"传播模式的回归。
Source: 人民日报 2026-06-12, 求是 2026年第11期
Finance Market
| Index | Date | Close | Change | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSI A500 | 2026-06-11 | 5,872.70 | -30.27 | -0.51% |
| S&P 500 | 2026-06-11 | 7,394.30 | +127.31 | +1.75% |
| HSI | 2026-06-10 | 24,407.96 | -157.94 | -0.64% |
| Nikkei | 2026-06-10 | 64,179.27 | -1,237.36 | -1.89% |
| KOSPI | 2026-06-10 | 7,730.82 | -366.11 | -4.52% |
| Gold | 2026-06-11 | 4,266.70 | +158.50 | +3.86% |
| DXY | 2026-06-11 | 99.68 | -0.27 | -0.28% |
| USD/CNY | 2026-06-11 | 6.77 | +0.00 | +0.00% |
Generated: 2026-06-12 07:12 UTC+8